Areas of Highest Concern

Reason for Concern

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Current Observations

The South Sudanese Pound further depreciated on the parallel market from 150 SSP/USD in June to 180 SSP/USD in September.

Reason for Concern

Boko Haram conflict continues to contribute to large-scale population displacement, severely disrupt livelihood activities, maintain high staple food prices, and restrict market activity.

Current Observations

Large populations in Borno State and some surrounding areas of Yobe and Adamawa States remain heavily dependent on humanitarian assistance for food access.

Reason for Concern

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Current Observations

The spread of cholera has slowed significantly in some areas compared to peak levels, but the disease is still spreading fast in more recently affected districts and in remote villages.

Reason for Concern

The April to June 2017 Gu season was well below average. This follows large rainfall deficits in 2016 for both April to June Gu and October to December Deyr seasons.

Current Observations

Gu production in the South is estimated at 63 percent of the long-term average and Gu/Karaan production in the northwest is estimated at 13 percent of average.

Reason for Concern

Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.

Current Observations

Delivery of humanitarian assistance remains limited in parts of Somali Region currently classified in Emergency (IPC Phase 4).

Other Areas of Concern

Reason for Concern

The 2017 long rains marked the second consecutive season of drought across the majority of Kenya’s pastoral and marginal agricultural areas, which affected livestock productivity and crop production.

Current Observations

Food insecurity continues to worsen in pastoral areas during the dry season. Low milk production and poor dietary diversity are exacerbating already high malnutrition outcomes.

Reason for Concern

Ongoing conflict in Kasai-Centrale Province since August 2016 has caused ongoing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access their livelihoods.

Current Observations

The size of the internally displaced population in the Kasaï region has grown by 24 percent since June of this year to 1,720,000 people.

Reason for Concern

Widespread conflict continues to cause displacement, and hundreds of thousands of recent returnees from Pakistan and Iran are attempting to establish new livelihoods within the country.

Current Observations

According to UNHCR and IOM, more than 45,000 documented and nearly 300,000 undocumented people returned to Afghanistan from Pakistan and Iran to date in 2017.

Areas of Highest Concern

Country or Region Reason for Concern Current Observations
South Sudan

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

The South Sudanese Pound further depreciated on the parallel market from 150 SSP/USD in June to 180 SSP/USD in September.

Nigeria

Boko Haram conflict continues to contribute to large-scale population displacement, severely disrupt livelihood activities, maintain high staple food prices, and restrict market activity.

Large populations in Borno State and some surrounding areas of Yobe and Adamawa States remain heavily dependent on humanitarian assistance for food access.

Yemen

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

The spread of cholera has slowed significantly in some areas compared to peak levels, but the disease is still spreading fast in more recently affected districts and in remote villages.

Somalia

The April to June 2017 Gu season was well below average. This follows large rainfall deficits in 2016 for both April to June Gu and October to December Deyr seasons.

Gu production in the South is estimated at 63 percent of the long-term average and Gu/Karaan production in the northwest is estimated at 13 percent of average.

Ethiopia

Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.

Delivery of humanitarian assistance remains limited in parts of Somali Region currently classified in Emergency (IPC Phase 4).

Other Areas of Concern

Country or Region Reason for Concern Current Observations
Kenya

The 2017 long rains marked the second consecutive season of drought across the majority of Kenya’s pastoral and marginal agricultural areas, which affected livestock productivity and crop production.

Food insecurity continues to worsen in pastoral areas during the dry season. Low milk production and poor dietary diversity are exacerbating already high malnutrition outcomes.

DRC

Ongoing conflict in Kasai-Centrale Province since August 2016 has caused ongoing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access their livelihoods.

The size of the internally displaced population in the Kasaï region has grown by 24 percent since June of this year to 1,720,000 people.

Afghanistan

Widespread conflict continues to cause displacement, and hundreds of thousands of recent returnees from Pakistan and Iran are attempting to establish new livelihoods within the country.

According to UNHCR and IOM, more than 45,000 documented and nearly 300,000 undocumented people returned to Afghanistan from Pakistan and Iran to date in 2017.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.