Areas of Highest Concern

Reason for Concern

Boko Haram conflict continues to contribute to large-scale population displacement, limit market activity, and restrict normal livelihoods.

Current Observations

Extreme levels of acute food insecurity may be occurring in inaccessible areas of the northeast, while Emergency (IPC Phase 4) persists in many LGAs.

Reason for Concern

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Current Observations

The evacuation of aid workers in November from southern and central Unity has further reduced assistance to persons displaced within the state.

Reason for Concern

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Current Observations

Partner observations suggest high levels of acute malnutrition in southern, coastal areas of Al Hudaydah.

Other Areas of Concern

Reason for Concern

The 2015/16 El Niño led to drought across much of the region. This marks a second consecutive poor production year for many areas.

Current Observations

Worst affected areas of Zimbabwe and southern Malawi are expected to be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) acute food insecurity in the lean season.

Reason for Concern

2015/16 crop production in southern Madagascar was well below-average or failed, depending on the area, due to the effects of a severe El Niño-related drought.

Current Observations

Areas of southern Madagascar are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) during the lean season as households face larger gaps in their basic food needs.

Reason for Concern

Somalia has received little to no rainfall during the first half of the October to December Deyr season. This follows below-average April to June Gu rainfall.

Current Observations

Rainfall in October and November was 50-70 percent below average and Deyr harvest prospects are poor. Sharp price increases have occurred in Baidoa and Qorioley.

Reason for Concern

Hurricane Matthew directly struck southwestern Haiti in early October, significantly damaging crops and infrastructure while disrupting livelihood activities.

Current Observations

Urgent humanitarian and agricultural assistance is needed to mitigate food consumption gaps and ensure the successful launch of winter and spring agricultural activities.

Reason for Concern

Conflict and weak non-agricultural labor markets are inhibiting normal livelihoods and market access for many.

Current Observations

Conflict-induced displacement has been widespread in 2016, with an estimated 265,000 people displaced. Additionally, nearly 150,000 Afghanistan nationals have returned from Pakistan in 2016.

Areas of Highest Concern

Country or Region Reason for Concern Current Observations
Nigeria

Boko Haram conflict continues to contribute to large-scale population displacement, limit market activity, and restrict normal livelihoods.

Extreme levels of acute food insecurity may be occurring in inaccessible areas of the northeast, while Emergency (IPC Phase 4) persists in many LGAs.

South Sudan

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

The evacuation of aid workers in November from southern and central Unity has further reduced assistance to persons displaced within the state.

Yemen

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Partner observations suggest high levels of acute malnutrition in southern, coastal areas of Al Hudaydah.

Other Areas of Concern

Country or Region Reason for Concern Current Observations
Southern Africa

The 2015/16 El Niño led to drought across much of the region. This marks a second consecutive poor production year for many areas.

Worst affected areas of Zimbabwe and southern Malawi are expected to be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) acute food insecurity in the lean season.

Madagascar

2015/16 crop production in southern Madagascar was well below-average or failed, depending on the area, due to the effects of a severe El Niño-related drought.

Areas of southern Madagascar are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) during the lean season as households face larger gaps in their basic food needs.

Somalia

Somalia has received little to no rainfall during the first half of the October to December Deyr season. This follows below-average April to June Gu rainfall.

Rainfall in October and November was 50-70 percent below average and Deyr harvest prospects are poor. Sharp price increases have occurred in Baidoa and Qorioley.

Haiti

Hurricane Matthew directly struck southwestern Haiti in early October, significantly damaging crops and infrastructure while disrupting livelihood activities.

Urgent humanitarian and agricultural assistance is needed to mitigate food consumption gaps and ensure the successful launch of winter and spring agricultural activities.

Afghanistan

Conflict and weak non-agricultural labor markets are inhibiting normal livelihoods and market access for many.

Conflict-induced displacement has been widespread in 2016, with an estimated 265,000 people displaced. Additionally, nearly 150,000 Afghanistan nationals have returned from Pakistan in 2016.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 35 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.