Areas of Highest Concern

Reason for Concern

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Current Observations

The prevalence of global acute malnutrition (GAM) in Northern Bahr el Ghazal is very high and suggests extremely severe food insecurity.

Reason for Concern

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Current Observations

2.2 million IDPs identified in Yemen in June 2016, according to the Task Force on Population Movement’s recent update.

Reason for Concern

Boko Haram conflict continues to contribute to large-scale population displacement, limit market activity, and restrict normal livelihoods.

Current Observations

Reports from newly accessible areas in the northeast continue to suggest levels of acute malnutrition remain Critical.

Other Areas of Concern

Reason for Concern

The 2015/16 El Niño led to drought across much of the region. This marks a second consecutive poor production year for many areas.

Current Observations

Earlier and higher demand for food purchases in local markets contributes to atypically high staple prices.

Reason for Concern

2015/16 crop production in southern Madagascar was well below-average or failed, depending on the area, due to the effects of a severe El Niño-related drought.

Current Observations

A recent FEWS NET assessment found that households in drought-affected areas have reduced consumption and are engaging in negative coping strategies.

Reason for Concern

In southern and central Somalia, the below-average 2016 Gu season is likely to be followed by a below-average 2017 Deyr season.

Current Observations

Due to below-average stocks, sorghum prices have atypically increased in August in surplus-producing markets, a time when prices seasonally decrease by around 10 percent.

Reason for Concern

Conflict and weak non-agricultural labor markets are inhibiting normal livelihoods and market access for many.

Current Observations

Conflict-induced displacement has been widespread in 2016, with an estimated 265,000 people displaced. Additionally, nearly 150,000 Afghanistan nationals have returned from Pakistan in 2016.

Reason for Concern

Very poor seasonal performance in western and El Niño-affected eastern areas has driven below-average national production and very large pasture deficits.

Current Observations

Acute food insecurity during the peak of the lean season is likely worst among IPDs in South Kordofan, Blue Nile, and Jebel Marra.

Areas of Highest Concern

Country or Region Reason for Concern Current Observations
South Sudan

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

The prevalence of global acute malnutrition (GAM) in Northern Bahr el Ghazal is very high and suggests extremely severe food insecurity.

Yemen

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

2.2 million IDPs identified in Yemen in June 2016, according to the Task Force on Population Movement’s recent update.

Nigeria

Boko Haram conflict continues to contribute to large-scale population displacement, limit market activity, and restrict normal livelihoods.

Reports from newly accessible areas in the northeast continue to suggest levels of acute malnutrition remain Critical.

Other Areas of Concern

Country or Region Reason for Concern Current Observations
Southern Africa

The 2015/16 El Niño led to drought across much of the region. This marks a second consecutive poor production year for many areas.

Earlier and higher demand for food purchases in local markets contributes to atypically high staple prices.

Madagascar

2015/16 crop production in southern Madagascar was well below-average or failed, depending on the area, due to the effects of a severe El Niño-related drought.

A recent FEWS NET assessment found that households in drought-affected areas have reduced consumption and are engaging in negative coping strategies.

Somalia

In southern and central Somalia, the below-average 2016 Gu season is likely to be followed by a below-average 2017 Deyr season.

Due to below-average stocks, sorghum prices have atypically increased in August in surplus-producing markets, a time when prices seasonally decrease by around 10 percent.

Afghanistan

Conflict and weak non-agricultural labor markets are inhibiting normal livelihoods and market access for many.

Conflict-induced displacement has been widespread in 2016, with an estimated 265,000 people displaced. Additionally, nearly 150,000 Afghanistan nationals have returned from Pakistan in 2016.

Sudan

Very poor seasonal performance in western and El Niño-affected eastern areas has driven below-average national production and very large pasture deficits.

Acute food insecurity during the peak of the lean season is likely worst among IPDs in South Kordofan, Blue Nile, and Jebel Marra.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 35 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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