Acute food insecurity is likely to remain Minimal even with the lean season underway
- The lean season is underway and will continue through August. Acute food insecurity will likely remain Minimal (Phase 1, IPC 2.0) through the projection period, September 2013, as poor households are meeting their needs due to average to good income, average production and relatively accessible consumer prices. Food access from the Primera season will be accessible from August on.
- Forecasts indicate normal rainfall throughout July, leading to an average Primera harvest. A less dry than normal canÝcula (dry spell) is expected in July and localized areas may face rainfall deficits. Therefore, local yields may be reduced. A tropical cyclone is likely to reach the north coast in June and could impact local production.
- Coffee rust will reduce 2013/2014 harvest by at least 35 to 40 percent, consequently labor demand and wages are likely to reduce by at least 30 percent during the next harvest (October 2013 toľ March 2014).
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