Guatemala

Presence Country
March 2017

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

Pays de présence:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Pays suivis à distance:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

Países com presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Países sem presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad
Key Messages
  • Seasonal forecasts indicate an elevated risk of irregular rainfall distribution during the beginning of the rainy season. Furthermore, in most of the eastern Dry Corridor and significant parts of the western Dry Corridor, soil conditions are dryer than usual for this time of year. These two factors could lead to a delay in the establishment of Primera season crops, or damages due to poor early season development in subsistence production areas. As the rainy season progresses, forecasts indicate a reduction in cumulative rainfall with respect to average, especially after June. This could adversely affect yields of staple crops in the Dry Corridor, for the fifth consecutive year in some instances.

  • During the analysis period, prices for both maize and black beans are expected to follow a seasonal trend, with a gradual increase from May until the Primera harvests in September. White maize prices are expected to remain below the five-year average, while prices for black beans are likely to remain above average. Staple harvests in surplus-producing areas of the northern part of the country will supply national markets, as well as trade flows from Mexico, supported by the weakening of the Mexican peso.

  • The availability of water for human consumption will be limited in both quantity and quality during the period of analysis. The ongoing dry season began with a large deficit in water levels of major sources, and the likelihood for below-average precipitation during the rainy season will limit improvements in water levels. 

  • Many households affected by damages to staple crops and low income generation from daily labor in 2016, and who suffered low yields during the three previous years, will progressively face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) until the end of the analysis period in September 2017. It is likely that the lean season will extend beyond what is typical due to a delayed Primera harvest, which will likely be below average. The majority of these households are located in lower-elevation areas of the Dry Corridor, both in the east as well as in arid areas of the western highlands.

Weather, Climate, and Agriculture

Seasonal Calendar

Markets & Trade

Price Bulletin

Production and Trade Flow Maps

November 2011
November 2011
January 2009
January 2009
January 2009
January 2009

Livelihoods

Livelihood Zone Map

Central America Food Security Outlook (July - December 2015)

Click here to view with closed captions

Guatemala SMART Survey

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.