East Africa

September 2016

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

Pays de présence:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Pays suivis à distance:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

Países com presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Países sem presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad
Key Messages
  • In conflict-affected South Sudan, Emergency (IPC Phase 4) acute food insecurity is widespread in parts of Greater Upper Nile (GUN) and Greater Bahr el Ghazal as households face significant food consumption gaps, high levels of malnutrition, and elevated risk of mortality. In Northern Bahr el Ghazal, some households face an extreme lack of food and are in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5). While harvests starting in October should slightly improve food security, severe disruptions to livelihoods, exacerbated by continued conflict, are likely to limit improvements.

  • Many areas of Ethiopia worst affected by El Niño-related drought in 2015 will continue to be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) through at least September, with more than 10 million people in need of continued humanitarian assistance. Meher harvests starting in October should improve household food access and lead to improvements in food security. However, parts of SNNPR and central and eastern Oromia are drier than normal, leading to prospects for below-average production in some areas. 

  • In Jebel Marra and SPLM-N controlled areas in South Kordofan and Blue Nile in Sudan, conflict, displacement, and limitations on movement have disrupted access to food, income, markets, and humanitarian assistance, resulting in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes. El Niño-driven drought during the 2015 production season has likewise reduced access to food and income for poor households, in parts of North Darfur, North Kordofan, and Kassala, leading to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) food insecurity. 

  • A major food security crisis is expected to continue in Yemen, as conflict continues to displace households, disrupt markets, and result in above-average food prices. An estimated seven to 10 million people require humanitarian assistance and are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3 or 3!) or Emergency (IPC Phase 4). Food security outcomes are expected to be worst in Ta’izz Governorate, and approximately 2.7 million people remain displaced nationwide. 

  • Below-average rainfall during the October to December rainy seasons in southern and southeastern Ethiopia, northern and northeastern Kenya, and central and southern Somalia is likely to lead to below-average crop production and limited livestock productivity in agro-pastoral and pastoral areas. As a result, a deterioration in food security is likely in these areas between October 2016 and January 2017.  

Livelihoods

Other Reports

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 35 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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