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Food Security Outlook October 2024 - May 2025 Below-average short rains to worsen food security in coming months Download the report
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in the pastoral areas of Turkana, Marsabit, and Garissa counties through at least May following a below-average start to the October – December (OND) short rains season. Low livestock herd sizes combined with limited improvements in forage and livestock body conditions during the OND short rains season will likely result in below average total milk availability. To meet minimum food needs, households will resort to unsustainable negative coping strategies like skipping meals.
  • Across the rest of the pastoral areas, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes anticipated through January due to the slightly below-average forage and water sources maintained by the below-average cumulative OND short rains. From February to May, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in Tana River, Samburu, Wijir, and Mandera counties, following a below-average cumulative OND short rains season limiting improvements to livestock body conditions and production. Subsequently, an anticipated below-average March to May long rains season could further exacerbate deteriorations in livestock conditions.
  • Across marginal agricultural areas, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected through January. Average to above-average long rains harvests from the high and medium potential areas and cross-border imports are currently bolstering poor household food access. However, the anticipated below-average OND short rains harvests in February will limit poor household staple grains stocks and income from crop sales. In the absence of typical food stocks, households will employ consumption and livelihood coping strategies indicative of Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in Makueni and Kitui counties through May.
  • FEWS NET estimates that 2.5 to 2.99 million people will require humanitarian food assistance between October 2024 and May 2025. Needs are expected to peak at the end of February 2025, before the onset of the March to May long rains. 
  • Global forecasts indicate that La Niña is the most likely state by October with the cumulative rainfall during the OND short rains season likely to be below-average. In addition, the March to May long rains are also expected to be below average, particularly in eastern Kenya. However, uncertainty exists given the long lead time, expectations for emerging La Niña conditions, and conflicting ensemble forecasts.
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Food Security Classification data View all Kenya Food Security Classification data
Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification (October 2024 - May 2025)

Current (October 2024) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2024 - January 2025) and medium term (February 2025 - May 2025) periods.

 Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2024 (.zip) (ZIP) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2024 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: October 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: October 2024 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.kml) (KML) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification (June 2022 - January 2023)

Current (June 2022) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (June 2022 - September 2022) and medium term (October 2022 - January 2023) periods.

 Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile June 2022 (.zip) (ZIP) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification June 2022 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: June 2022 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: June 2022 - September 2022 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2022 - January 2023 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: June 2022 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: June 2022 - September 2022 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2022 - January 2023 (.kml) (KML) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification (October 2019 - May 2020)

Current (October 2019) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2019 - January 2020) and medium term (February 2020 - May 2020) periods.

 Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2019 (.zip) (ZIP) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2019 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: October 2019 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: October 2019 - January 2020 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2020 - May 2020 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: October 2019 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: October 2019 - January 2020 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2020 - May 2020 (.kml) (KML)
Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Kenya
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Beans, Season 1 Beans, Season 2 Maize, Season 1 Maize, Season 2
Satellite-derived products map

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all satellite-derived products
Livelihood Zone resources Kenya Livelihood Zone Descriptions, March 2011 Kenya Livelihood Zones Map
Kenya 2011 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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