Rwanda flag

Remotely Monitored Country
Key Message Update

Abundant rains after dry spell benefit crops and bode well for average harvests

January 2018

January 2018

February - May 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Above-average rainfall in January, particularly in the east, may allow for average harvests after all. With increasing job opportunities in the farming and non-farming sectors, incomes continue to improve, which supports Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes through May 2018. However, in parts of Bugesera, Kayonza, and Kirehe districts, which were particularly affected by erratic rainfall, the production of beans and maize is likely to be below average, resulting in many poor households in Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

  • According to the National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda (NISR), food and beverage prices dropped by nearly five percent in December compared to November 2017. The prices of non-cereal commodities, such as beans, Irish and sweet potatoes, decreased by 9.2 and 13.5 percent on a monthly and annual basis, respectively, despite the dry spell in December. Food prices reduced the most in rural areas where the majority of the poor live, facilitating better food access. 

  • In January, WFP was forced to cut refugee food rations to 75 percent of the daily requirements, except for the most vulnerable. As a result, the Government of Rwanda is allowing refugees to seek daily labor outside of the camps, and partners are planning to integrate refugees into national safety net programs. In the absence of humanitarian assistance and Government interventions, refugees living in camps would be facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3). According to UNHCR, 589 new Burundian asylum seekers arrived in December.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

USAID logoUSGS logoUSDA logo
NASA logoNOAA logoKimetrica logoChemonics logo