National 2014/15 main season production is expected to be 30 percent above average, according to recent harvest assessments. Increased market supply will improve household access to cereals on markets as prices decline. However, inflated production costs will keep price levels above the five-year average.
Increased access to food and income related to above-average harvests will continue to improve food security outcomes for most poor households during the first quarter of 2015. These improvements will strengthen household coping capacity during next year’s lean season.
Despite overall improvements in food security, Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) is expected to persist in conflict-affected areas of Darfur, South Kordofan and Blue Nile states, mainly among displaced populations. Ongoing conflict in these areas will continue to limit household capacity to meet minimum food requirements in these areas.