Southern Africa

March 2017

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

Pays de présence:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Pays suivis à distance:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

Países com presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Países sem presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad
Key Messages
  • As the lean season continues, areas in parts of Mozambique, DRC, and Zimbabwe are currently in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). Most other areas are experiencing Stressed (IPC Phase 2 and 2!) outcomes, with some in the presence of humanitarian assistance. In Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, and Zimbabwe   assistance is allowing households to cover their food gaps. With positive prospects for the main harvest in April/May, acute food insecurity is expected to improve across the region. Outcomes in most parts of the region will be Minimal (IPC Phase 1), while a few areas will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) from June through September.

  • Above-average rainfall across many parts of the region has contributed to very favorable vegetation conditions and positive main harvest prospects. However, increased armyworm and red locust infestations, as well as cyclonic activity will likely reduce harvests in affected countries. Recent cyclones have damaged crops, infrastructure, and impeded agricultural activities in Mozambique and Madagascar, and caused flooding in Zimbabwe. The extent of the impact of the fall armyworm on yields in affected countries is unknown now due to constraints in identifying the pest, controlling it with insecticides, and detecting small infestations before they cause serious damage. Red locust breeding is also ongoing in several countries.

  • Crop conditions across the majority of the region are good and some households have begun consuming green foods with expectations that the dry harvest will begin in the next few months. In sharp contrast to last year, harvest prospects are good and above average staple prices are expected to start decreasing in April/May. In South Africa, the production forecast for white maize is about 8.3 million MT, which is 144 percent or 4.9 million MT more than the 3.4 million MT produced last season. Similar assessments to establish production estimates are ongoing in other countries across the region and results are expected in April/May.

Markets & Trade

Price Watch
Price Bulletin
Cross Border Trade Reports
July 2014 to September 2014

Production & Trade Flow Maps

Supply and Market outlook

Livelihoods

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.