Southern Africa

November 2016 to May 2017

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

Pays de présence:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Pays suivis à distance:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

Países com presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Países sem presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad
Key Messages
  • As the region approaches the peak lean season period, most very poor and poor households are expected to experience worsening food security outcomes across the region. Currently, areas in several countries are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). In some areas, ongoing humanitarian assistance is below needs, but has improved outcomes to IPC Phase 3. In other areas, Crisis outcomes exist in the absence of assistance and are expected until the next harvests. Emergency (IPC Phase 4) area outcomes are expected in parts of Madagascar through February. Although Emergency area outcomes are not projected for Zimbabwe, Lesotho, Mozambique, and Malawi during this outlook period, some households in severely affected parts of these countries will also experience IPC Phase 4 outcomes during peak lean season period

  • As demand increases and national maize deficits become more evident, maize grain prices are expected to reach their peak high between January and March. In some countries, maize meal prices will also increase, in addition to prices for cassava and other substitute foods. Malawi and Mozambique maize grain prices are expected to remain 150 percent or more above last year and five-year average, while Zimbabwe expects significantly above average prices due to an unstable macro-economic environment.

  • Preparations for the 2016-17 agriculture season is underway in most countries in the region and the seasonal rains have officially started in South Africa, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, Zambia, Swaziland, Mozambique, Angola, the DRC, and Madagascar. La Niña conditions, which are associated with average to above average rainfall in southern Africa, are expected during the region’s main 2016/17 cropping season. Production prospects are generally positive, however also dependent in many areas on the availability of inputs. Agricultural labor opportunities are expected to be near average but increased competition is a limiting factor for households. Additionally, better-off and middle household capacity to pay remains low. 

Markets & Trade

Price Watch
Price Bulletin
Cross Border Trade Reports
July 2014 to September 2014

Production & Trade Flow Maps

February 2009

Regional Market Reports

Livelihoods

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 35 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.