Southern Africa

June 2016 to January 2017

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

Pays de présence:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Urgence
5: Famine
Pays suivis à distance:
1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad

IPC 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

Países com presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Países sem presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad
Key Messages
  • The impacts of last year’s El Niño induced drought continues to be felt as an increased numbers of households across the region are facing significant food and livelihood protection gaps from June to September. Significant number of households in affected parts of Zimbabwe, Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar, Lesotho, and Swaziland continue to experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes. Between October and January, these outcomes are expected to deteriorate even further as food prices peak and supplies become scarce during the peak lean season. Some areas that are currently Stressed (IPC Phase 2) will be in Crisis by the end of outlook period. Conditions in Madagascar are expected to worsen and an area in the southernmost region of the country will be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4). Small pockets of households in Emergency are also possible in southern Malawi and southern Zimbabwe.

  • Normally harvesting for the main season stretches into July in most countries, but this season it was almost complete by the end of June instead since households either had little crop to harvest following the drought or experienced total crop failure. Households that normally earn incomes for food purchases through harvesting labor have been seriously affected by below-average opportunities and wages. Similar decreases were observed for non-farm income activities like brick molding, grass sales, and gardening, since these livelihood strategies have been affected by poor rainfall performance as well. Because of limited income earning opportunities, poor farming households are unable to purchase all that is needed for their food needs. 

  • With the exception of Zambia, every country in the region has a national cereal deficit this marketing year because of the drought. Market purchases remain the main source of staple in most countries, forcing poor households to extend their coping and livelihood strategies for the second consecutive year in some marginal producing areas. Maize grain prices are above the five-year average and June 2015 prices across all monitored countries, especially in Mozambique and Malawi. The main drivers of these increases are low local market supplies and unusually high consumer demand due to significant production decreases. Sub-national level information about the planning, funding, and likelihood of humanitarian assistance programs was not available for the national Outlook analyses in June, but is expected to become available and incorporated into national food security analyses within the next few months. 

Markets & Trade

Price Bulletin
Cross Border Trade Reports
July 2014 to September 2014

Production & Trade Flow Maps

February 2009

Regional Market Reports

Livelihoods

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 35 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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