Following below-average harvests, most poor households have exhausted own-produced foods and are now reliant on market purchases for staple foods. Staple food prices will continue to gradually increase as the lean season approaches, which will begin to reduce purchasing power for poor, market-dependent households.
Due to below-average income and seasonal increases in staple food prices, poor households will likely face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes in Qacha’s Nek, Thaba-Tseka, and Mafeteng. However, the greater part of Lesotho will likely maintain Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity.
Based on forecasts for a continued El Nino through at least January 2016, the Southern Africa Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF) and South African Weather Service indicate an increased likelihood of average to below-average rainfall through January. This could lead to a poor start to the agricultural season, from which agricultural activities and labor are an important source of food and income for poor households.
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 35 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.