Food stocks from own production, food in exchange with labor, market purchases, and safety nets ensuring basic food and non-food access, maintaining Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity outcomes between June and July, while declining purchasing power will result in localized Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes between August to September.
Based on crop estimates released by the Bureau of Statistics, the estimated maize grain shortfall is about 180,000 MT for the 2015/16 consumption period, an increase of 22 percent from last year’s shortfall 148,000 MT. It is expected that this shortfall will be covered through commercial imports this year.
Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity outcomes are projected through September, as a majority of poor households continue to consume own produced foods and have access to safety nets. However, according to the VAC, about 13 percent of households will likely experience Stressed (IPC Phase 2) in localized areas of Lowlands, and Foot Hills and Mountains livelihood zones.