Madagascar

Madagascar
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Latest analysis
Food Security Outlook October 2025 - May 2026 Area-level Crisis outcomes to emerge after nearly a decade of poor rainfall in the south Download the report
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected across much of the Grand South and remote areas of the Grand Southeast from November to March 2026, driven by past weather shock impacts on crop production. Poor households are expected to struggle to mitigate their food consumption gaps after depleting their food stocks atypically early. Many households are expected to resort to coping strategies – including consuming atypically high amounts of wild foods, selling productive assets, or skipping meals – amid a context of rapidly increasing food prices and below-average income from agricultural labor and self-employment.
  • Between April and May, the arrival of the green and main harvests is anticipated to facilitate improvement in food security to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes. Poor households most impacted by past weather shocks are likely to struggle to meet their essential non-food needs as they pay past debts.
  • Political uncertainty is expected to exacerbate existing macroeconomic challenges, which will likely lead to price increases for essential food and non-food items (particularly imports) and weaken household purchasing power. However, impacts are likely to be limited in southern Madagascar, given its lower dependence on imported commodities and limited economic integration with the rest of the country. Weather shocks remain the main driver of acute food insecurity.
  • The areas of highest concern include Ambovombe, Amboasary, Tsihombe, and Ampanihy-Ouest districts in the Grand South and Ikongo and Nosy Varika districts in the Grand Southeast.
  • FEWS NET estimates that 1.5-1.99 million people will be in need of humanitarian food assistance during the peak of the lean season from January to March 2026, similar to recent years. Needs are expected to decline between April and May with the arrival of the main harvest; however, needs will remain elevated due to the lingering impacts of drought and cyclone-related crop losses
  • FEWS NET did not have access to food assistance distribution plans at the time of reporting; however, global humanitarian funding challenges are anticipated to limit the scale and impact of future distributions in southern Madagascar. 
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More analysis View all Madagascar analysis Food security
Key Message Update Madagascar September 2025
Food Security Outlook Update Madagascar August 2025
Key Message Update Madagascar July 2025
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global November 13, 2025 - November 19, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global November 6, 2025 - November 12, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global October 30, 2025 - November 5, 2025
Markets & trade
Supply and Market Outlook Southern Africa October 1, 2023
Price Watch Global February 28, 2023
Price Watch Global January 31, 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Alert Southern Africa November 8, 2023
Food security
Key Message Update Madagascar September 2025
Food Security Outlook Update Madagascar August 2025
Key Message Update Madagascar July 2025
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global November 13, 2025 - November 19, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global November 6, 2025 - November 12, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global October 30, 2025 - November 5, 2025
Markets & trade
Supply and Market Outlook Southern Africa October 1, 2023
Price Watch Global February 28, 2023
Price Watch Global January 31, 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Alert Southern Africa November 8, 2023
Food Security Classification data View all Madagascar Food Security Classification data
Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Current (October 2025) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2025 (.zip) Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2025 (.geojson) Current Situation: October 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Current Situation: October 2025 (.kml) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (September 2025) and medium term (October 2025 - January 2026) periods.

 Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile September 2025 (.zip) Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification September 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: September 2025 (.png) Medium Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: September 2025 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (August 2025 - September 2025) and medium term (October 2025 - January 2026) periods.

 Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile August 2025 (.zip) Madagascar Acute Food Insecurity Classification August 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: August 2025 - September 2025 (.png) Medium Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: August 2025 - September 2025 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml)
Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Madagascar.
Satellite-derived products map

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all satellite-derived products
Livelihood Zone resources Madagascar Grand South Livelihood Baseline Profiles, November 2017 Madagascar Livelihood Zone Map and Descriptions, December 2013 Madagascar Livelihood Zone Map, March 2018
Madagascar 2017 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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