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Mozambique

Presence country
Mozambique
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Food Security Outlook
February - September 2024
Humanitarian needs likely to remain high through September 2024 due to El Niño and conflict
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected through September 2024 due to the negative effects of El Niño as no significant improvement is observed in the southern and central areas. Some Stressed (IPC Phase 2) areas may worsen to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) around August due to the expected rapid depletion of the imminent below-average harvest, limited access to income, and above-average food prices. In Cabo Delgado, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) areas are rapidly reemerging as some Stressed! (IPC Phase 2!) and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) areas experience growing insecurity. The resurgence of attacks is increasing the number of IDPs, interrupting humanitarian actions, and posing enormous challenges to the humanitarian community's ability to respond. However, at the national level, the majority of poorest households across the country are expected to face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes.
  • For the ongoing 2023/2024 agricultural season, a below-average harvest is expected at the national level, mainly due to the negative effects of El Niño which is affecting most of the country except for northern parts of Niassa and Cabo Delgado provinces. Negative effects of the El Niño phenomenon are below-average rainfall, irregular rainfall distribution, and above-average temperatures. In Maputo province, rainfall distribution has been relatively regular, but intense heat has caused water stress in crops which may result in below-average yields. In areas affected by the conflict, including Macomia, Chiúre, Mecúfi, Metuge, Mocímboa da Praia, Quissanga, Ancuabe, and Muidumbe districts, the resurgence and fear of attacks will affect recently resumed livelihood activities including agriculture, and may result in lower than expected crop production.
  • In January 2024, FSC partners provided humanitarian food assistance to approximately 21,500 people in Cabo Delgado and Niassa, representing around 2.4 percent of the targeted population. 61 percent of beneficiaries are from Cabo Delgado, and 39 percent are from Niassa. From May this year, humanitarian food assistance will be discontinued in Nampula. Regarding agriculture and livelihoods response, since October 2023 to January 2024 (main Agricultural campaign) FSC partners would have assisted approx 241,700 people in Cabo Delgado alone (92,468 in January), of which around 15 percent are from host/local communities, 13 percent are internally displaced people, and the remainder are mixed households. The deterioration in the security situation is affecting humanitarian actions with reports of temporary suspension in Quissanga and Chiúre, which could be resumed at any time, depending on the dynamics on the ground. On the other hand, limited funds to respond to ever-increasing needs are forcing the World Food Program (WFP) to reduce humanitarian food assistance in 2024 and adopting some targeting and prioritization principles that include prioritizing the most vulnerable, prioritizing districts of return, mitigating push and pull factors, concentrating resources for cost-effectiveness, incorporating seasonality considerations, and implementing evidence-driven adjustments.
  • In January 2024, maize grain prices remained stable but 30 and 20 percent higher on average than last year and the five-year average, respectively. The highest variations occurred in Maputo, where the price in January was 50 percent higher than last year, and in Nampula, where the price was 45 percent higher than the five-year average. Rice and maize meal prices remained relatively stable between December 2023 and January 2024 and compared to last year, but 30 and 15 percent higher on average than the five-year average, respectively. The high prices of staple foods are further reducing the purchasing power of poor households who are reliant on markets for food following the impacts of El Niño, especially in the semiarid areas in the south and center of the country.
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Latest Analysis Latest Analysis
View All Mozambique Analysis
Food Security
Key Message Update Below-average harvest expected in central semi-arid zones Mozambique January 2024
Food Security Outlook Update El Niño impacts likely to increase humanitarian needs in 2024 Mozambique December 2023
Key Message Update Below-average rainfall and high temperatures threaten planted crops in parts of southern and central Mozambique Mozambique November 2023
Agroclimatology
No reports available.
Markets & Trade
Price Bulletin Mozambique Price Bulletin Mozambique February 2024
Boletim de preço Boletim de Preço de Moçambique Moçambique February 2024
Price Bulletin Mozambique Price Bulletin Mozambique January 2024
Alerts / Special Reports
Alert Strong El Niño will drive high needs across Southern Africa through early 2025 Southern Africa November 8, 2023
Food Security
Key Message Update Below-average harvest expected in central semi-arid zones Mozambique January 2024
Food Security Outlook Update El Niño impacts likely to increase humanitarian needs in 2024 Mozambique December 2023
Key Message Update Below-average rainfall and high temperatures threaten planted crops in parts of southern and central Mozambique Mozambique November 2023
Agroclimatology
No reports available.
Markets & Trade
Price Bulletin Mozambique Price Bulletin Mozambique February 2024
Boletim de preço Boletim de Preço de Moçambique Moçambique February 2024
Price Bulletin Mozambique Price Bulletin Mozambique January 2024
Alerts / Special Reports
Alert Strong El Niño will drive high needs across Southern Africa through early 2025 Southern Africa November 8, 2023
Food Security Classification Data View all Mozambique classification data
Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification (February 2024 - September 2024)

Current (February 2024) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (February 2024 - May 2024) and medium term (June 2024 - September 2024) periods.

Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile February 2024 (.zip) (ZIP) Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification February 2024 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: February 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: June 2024 - September 2024 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: February 2024 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: June 2024 - September 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification (January 2024 - May 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (January 2024) and medium term (February 2024 - May 2024) periods.

Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile January 2024 (.zip) (ZIP) Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification January 2024 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification (February 2023 - September 2023)

Current (February 2023) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (February 2023 - May 2023) and medium term (June 2023 - September 2023) periods.

Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile February 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Mozambique Acute Food Insecurity Classification February 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: February 2023 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: February 2023 - May 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: February 2023 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: February 2023 - May 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML)
Seasonal Calendar Seasonal Calendar
Description

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.

Mozambique Seasonal Calendar
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Beans, Normal Year Groundnut, Normal Year Maize, Normal Year
Remote Sensing Imagery Remote Sensing Imagery
Description

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all remotely sensed imagery
Livelihood Zone Resources Livelihood Zone Resources
Livelihood Zone Descriptions, August 2014 Mozambique Limpopo Basin Baseline Profiles, November 2011 Zambezi Basin Baseline Livelihoods Reports, June 2011 Upper Limpopo Semi-arid Zone Baseline, August 2010 Mozambique Seasonal Monitoring Calendars, November 2009 Mozambique Livelihood Zone Map, January 2014
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