Mozambique flag

Presence Country
Key Message Update

Heavy rains in the north and dryness in the south may worsen post-harvest outcomes

January 2018

January 2018

February - May 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Significantly below-average rainfall in the south, particularly in Gaza Province, and parts of central Mozambique has continued, which has already led to crop failure in some southern areas. However, this has not affected current food availability and access due to last year’s above-average harvest and relatively low staple food prices. Overall, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes persist countrywide, except for Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in parts of northwestern Sofala Province and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes in other parts of Sofala, Tete, and Manica provinces.

  • A mid-January FEWS NET assessment to parts of Gaza Province, which had received less than 55 percent of normal rainfall since October 2017, confirmed the effects of the ongoing water stress. In Guijá District and parts of other neighboring districts, the first cropping season failed, and poor households were preparing for the second season but finding it challenging to afford and acquire needed seeds. While the updated forecast indicates normal to below-normal rainfall in much of the south, the current dryness continues to negatively affect cropping conditions. 

  • The tropical depression that hit northern Nampula Province on January 17, affected more than 80,000 people in Nampula, Cabo Delgado, and Niassa, causing at least 14 deaths and infrastructure and crop damages. During the next 15 days, emergency food assistance is required for nearly 37,000 people, including those in temporary accommodation centers, and sanitation and clean water are urgently needed. The provision of seeds for post-flood planting is also crucial, given the possibility for recovery as the season in the north can extend until May, with harvesting in June. 

  • Staple food prices, particularly of maize grain, have been atypical as they have not seasonally increased. Maize grain prices have generally remained consistently stable since July/August and are on average well below last year’s prices by 61 percent and below the five-year average by 28 percent. Given the prospects of a poor harvest from the current cropping season in the south, maize grain prices in southern markets may increase through March.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

USAID logoUSGS logoUSDA logo
NASA logoNOAA logoKimetrica logoChemonics logo