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Presence Country
Key Message Update

Cereal prices are above average despite average food availability in the country

January 2018

January 2018

February - May 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The 32 percent increase in agricultural production, relative to the average, favors satisfactory household and market availability of food despite pockets of production deficits in some parts of the country. As a result, most households in the country are currently in a situation of Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity.

  • The early deterioration of localized pastoral conditions in the pastoral zones of the northern and western Sahel regions has resulted in unusual movements of livestock. The decline in production and livestock body conditions compared to average will affect incomes of pastoralist households; which will limit their ability to access markets.

  • Household access to cereals is generally average in agricultural areas thanks to the availability of own production, payments in kind, and donations, which reduce households’ dependence on markets. However, above-average price increases in consumption areas, as well as declining goat/millet terms of trade are not conducive to adequate access of poor households to markets.

  • Poor households in the Goundam Lakes area, the Niger Delta, parts of the Western Sahel, and Gourma of Gao and Timbuktu, who will deplete stocks earlier than usual and will need to purchase in markets with high grain prices, will experience an early lean season. As a result, they will experience Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity outcomes from March until the end of the lean season in September 2018.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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