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Nigeria

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Nigeria
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Latest Analysis
Key Message Update December 2024 Protracted conflict sustains Emergency (IPC Phase 4) and widespread Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in north Download the report
  • The compounding impacts of conflicts, poor economic conditions, and climatic shocks—such as dry spells and flooding—remain the key drivers of acute food insecurity in Nigeria. Widespread Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to persist in the conflict-affected areas of North East, North West, and North Central Nigeria. In northern Nigeria, food availability and access are severely limited by the ongoing conflict that drives population displacement and disrupts livelihood activities, market supplies, and functionality. This situation is further exacerbated by severe flooding, which negatively impacts agricultural production. Inaccessible local government areas (LGAs) of Abadam, Guzamala, Marte, and Bama in Borno State will likely remain in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) through May 2025.
  • In the North West, insecurity is worsening due to ongoing banditry, attacks, and kidnappings. In early December, bandits abducted 50 people, including women and children, in Maradun of Zamfara State, highlighting the persistence of insecurity. These attacks and kidnappings disrupt livelihoods by limiting households from engaging in typical income-earning activities. They also impact market functionality and key supply routes, leading to higher food prices. In the North East, insecurity linked to the Boko Haram insurgency continues to drive population displacement, interfere with livelihood activities, and severely limit access to humanitarian food assistance. Out of 3.57 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) in the country, over 63 percent are in the North East. As of November 2024, the North East registered over 2.25 million IDPs, a slight decrease from 2.37 million in December 2023. Of these IDPs in the North East, more than 1.7 million IDPs, or 76 percent, are in Borno State, which remains the state most severely affected by the insurgency (IOM).    
  • The main harvest season concludes in December, with cereal production forecasted to be three percent below the five-year average, according to the PREGEC report. Early dry spells and flooding at the end of the season negatively impacted the harvest. According to the latest information from the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), severe flooding has affected 34 states and 211 LGAs, with the North East and North West being the most affected. Climatic shocks exacerbate the impacts of conflicts, hindering households’ access to typical food and income sources and disrupting internal trade and humanitarian assistance in the Northern conflict-affected areas. 
  • The economic conditions continue to deteriorate, as the inflation rate increased again in November from 33.88 percent in October to 34.60 percent. Food inflation remains particularly high at 39.93 percent. Year-on-year food inflation varies by state, with Sokoto, Yobe, and Edo reporting the highest rates at 51.30 percent, 49.69 percent, and 47.77 percent, respectively.  However, the month-on-month food inflation increased slightly from 2.94 percent in October to 2.98 percent in November. Despite seasonal replenishments of household food stocks due to the main harvests and the relative improvement of market supplies, staple food prices remain significantly higher than last year and the five-year average. In November, maize prices were reported to be 52 to 117 percent higher compared to 2023, while imported rice prices increased between 68 to 188 percent (AGRA).
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More Analysis View all Nigeria analysis Food security
Key Message Update Nigeria November 2024
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Agroclimatology
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Global Weather Hazards Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Markets & trade
Price Bulletin Nigeria October 2024
Price Bulletin Nigeria September 2024
Price Bulletin Nigeria August 2024
Alerts / Special Reports
Alert Nigeria August 12, 2020
Special Report Nigeria June 30, 2020
Special Report Nigeria October 17, 2019
Food security
Key Message Update Nigeria November 2024
Food Security Outlook Nigeria October 2024 - May 2025
Key Message Update Nigeria September 2024
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global February 17, 2023 - February 23, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Markets & trade
Price Bulletin Nigeria October 2024
Price Bulletin Nigeria September 2024
Price Bulletin Nigeria August 2024
Alerts / Special Reports
Alert Nigeria August 12, 2020
Special Report Nigeria June 30, 2020
Special Report Nigeria October 17, 2019
Food Security Classification Data View all Nigeria Food Security Classification data
Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification (December 2024 - May 2025)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (December 2024 - January 2025) and medium term (February 2025 - May 2025) periods.

Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile December 2024 (.zip) (ZIP) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification December 2024 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: December 2024 - January 2025 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: December 2024 - January 2025 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.kml) (KML)
Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification (November 2024 - May 2025)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (November 2024 - January 2025) and medium term (February 2025 - May 2025) periods.

Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile November 2024 (.zip) (ZIP) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification November 2024 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: November 2024 - January 2025 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: November 2024 - January 2025 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.kml) (KML)
Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification (October 2024 - May 2025)

Current (October 2024) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2024 - January 2025) and medium term (February 2025 - May 2025) periods.

Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2024 (.zip) (ZIP) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2024 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: October 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: October 2024 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.kml) (KML)
Seasonal Calendar
Description

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.

Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Nigeria
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Cassava, Normal Year Cowpea, Normal Year Livestock, Normal Year Maize, Normal Year Millet, Normal Year Sorghum, Normal Year
Satellite-Derived Products
Description

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all Satellite-Derived Products
Livelihood Zone resources View all Nigeria livelihoods products Livelihood profile Fact sheets Attribute maps Map and shapefiles
Nigeria 2023 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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