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Latin America and the Caribbean

Latin America and the Caribbean
Key Message Update
January 2024
The population facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes is expected to rise across the region in the coming months
  • In Haiti, the effects of persistent insecurity and its impacts on the economy, coupled with below-average rainfall, continue to drive high levels of acute food insecurity. Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes persist in Cité Soleil due to the impacts of intensifying violence on market functionality and income-earning activities. Gang attacks and the rise in illicit road tolls imposed by these groups are also disrupting market flows across the country more broadly, exacerbating high food prices. In addition, below-average staple grain harvests resulting from irregular rainfall combined with other negative macroeconomic factors have produced Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes throughout much of the rest of the country. Despite the continued appreciation of the HTG against the USD, food prices remain high compared to the monthly, annual, and five-year averages, limiting household purchasing power. In Cap-Haïtien and Ouanaminthe departments, for instance, bean prices rose by 28 percent from October to November.
  • In Central America, the Dry Corridor region, northern Honduras, and the Alta Verapaz region of Guatemala are of highest concern. In these areas, households in the very poor wealth group suffered total agricultural losses in 2023 due to weather shocks and high production costs, and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to become more widespread in advance of the 2024 lean season. Household reserves of staple grains will run out unseasonably early, and households are expected to resort to purchasing food at atypically high prices for a prolonged time. Areas in the rest of the region are projected to experience Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes, as the primera and postrera staple grain harvests are only slightly below average, allowing poor rural households to meet their minimum food needs. However, income earned during the season of high demand for day labor will most likely be spent unseasonably early due to inflation, placing pressure on household purchasing power that impacts their non-food needs. 
  • In Venezuela, relative improvement in macroeconomic conditions – characterized by increased USD supply and exchange rate stabilization, the expansion of social programs, and stability of the price of the basic diet – has increased poor households’ access to food in recent months. While Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected to remain widespread at the state level, a decline in the number of people in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) is expected through February. However, an anticipated reduction in government revenue due to the expiry of oil and mineral export licenses in April is expected to lead to a decline in social programs. Given high reliance on government benefits, the population facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes will most likely rise from March onward, especially in peri-urban areas of the Capital District among poor households that receive their income in local currency (VED) and have no access to remittances or social programs, and in the states bordering Colombia that are affected by weather shocks. In the areas of highest concern, including Guárico, Apure, and eastern Barinas, poor rainfall related to El Niño conditions had driven low yields among subsistence crop producers, and these rural households lack sufficient purchasing power to meet their minimum food needs.
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Food Security Classification Data View all Latin America and the Caribbean classification data
Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification (February 2024 - September 2024)

Current (February 2024) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (February 2024 - May 2024) and medium term (June 2024 - September 2024) periods.

Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile February 2024 (.zip) (ZIP) Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification February 2024 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: February 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: June 2024 - September 2024 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: February 2024 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: June 2024 - September 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification (January 2024 - May 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (January 2024) and medium term (February 2024 - May 2024) periods.

Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile January 2024 (.zip) (ZIP) Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification January 2024 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification (December 2023 - May 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (December 2023 - January 2024) and medium term (February 2024 - May 2024) periods.

Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile December 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Latin America and Caribbean Acute Food Insecurity Classification December 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: December 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: December 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Latest Analysis Latest Analysis
View All Latin America and Caribbean Analysis
Food Security
Key Message Update The population facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes is expected to rise across the region in the coming months Latin America and the Caribbean January 2024
Key Message Update Violence and inflation in Haiti, and atypically low precipitation plus residual price shocks in Central America and Venezuela drive regional food insecurity Latin America and the Caribbean December 2023
Food Security Outlook Insecurity in Haiti, weather shocks in Central America, and economic constraints in Venezuela are driving acute food insecurity across the region Latin America and the Caribbean October 2023 - May 2024
Agroclimatology
Monitoreo Estacional Distribución errática de lluvia persiste América Latina y el Caribe December 31, 2023
Monitoreo Estacional Condiciones secas en zonas de producción de Apante América Latina y el Caribe November 30, 2023
Monitoreo Estacional Condiciones secas predominan en la región América Latina y el Caribe October 31, 2023
Markets & Trade
Price Bulletin Central and the Caribbean Price Bulletin Latin America and the Caribbean February 2024
Boletín de precios América Central y el Caribe Boletín de Precios América Latina y el Caribe February 2024
Price Bulletin Central America Price Bulletin Latin America and the Caribbean January 2024
Alerts / Special Reports
No reports available.
Food Security
Key Message Update The population facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes is expected to rise across the region in the coming months Latin America and the Caribbean January 2024
Key Message Update Violence and inflation in Haiti, and atypically low precipitation plus residual price shocks in Central America and Venezuela drive regional food insecurity Latin America and the Caribbean December 2023
Food Security Outlook Insecurity in Haiti, weather shocks in Central America, and economic constraints in Venezuela are driving acute food insecurity across the region Latin America and the Caribbean October 2023 - May 2024
Agroclimatology
Monitoreo Estacional Distribución errática de lluvia persiste América Latina y el Caribe December 31, 2023
Monitoreo Estacional Condiciones secas en zonas de producción de Apante América Latina y el Caribe November 30, 2023
Monitoreo Estacional Condiciones secas predominan en la región América Latina y el Caribe October 31, 2023
Markets & Trade
Price Bulletin Central and the Caribbean Price Bulletin Latin America and the Caribbean February 2024
Boletín de precios América Central y el Caribe Boletín de Precios América Latina y el Caribe February 2024
Price Bulletin Central America Price Bulletin Latin America and the Caribbean January 2024
Alerts / Special Reports
No reports available.
Food Security Outlook Briefing Food Security Outlook Briefing
Description

(February - September 2023)

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Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Maize, Segunda Season Maize, Primera Season Beans, Primera Season Beans, Segunda Season Beans, Apante Season Beans, Apante Season
Remote Sensing Imagery Remote Sensing Imagery
Description

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

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